David Montgomery looked the part of a workhorse profile after Cohen left the lineup, and Khalil Herbert is a rookie to watch for upward mobility on the depth chart. Thats the first thing we notice. David Johnson, Arizona Cardinals. There is no other way to explain a mid-range RB3 price when he is in one of the worst possible situations in Houston. The problem is it never really felt like we stopped moving Edmonds up the board even after the signing of James Conner. Gaskin is a nice player, but the signings by this staff the last two offseasons say they don't have confidence that Gaskin is their guy. Unfortunately, the odds are stacked against Kamara repeating as the best player in fantasy football. The first thing that pops out at us is that Jerome Bettis 3.9 YPC is a good deal lower than the offensive lines mark of 4.29 (ADY). The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback will gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. The investment in veteran wideout Sammy Watkins and rookies Rashod Bateman and Tylan Wallace almost cements Dobbinss capped upside in the passing game. Gaskin may be the best receiver of the trio, but Ahmed isn't far behind. Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. Projecting a fourth-round pick to take over the backfield would be fine if there was evidence that this was happening. There is no upside with drafting Gaskin this high. Every Prem club's most overrated player and Arsenal fans must end Leave him there for the next guy to take him. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Crimson Tide skill players have been pretty good coming into the NFL recently, and Robinson's early start to camp has been generating buzz. Subscription, Early-March Top 10 Defensive Back IDP Rankings, 5 RBs to Buy In Dynasty Before NFL Free Agency. Jamal Lewis-- RB, 2000-06 There have been seven running backs who have rushed for 2,000 yards in a season, and Jamal Lewis is by far the least memorable of the bunch. Sigmund Bloom: Not that the Texans offense was anything you wanted to go near in fantasy drafts in the first place, but Johnson's ADP needs to adjust by multiple rounds to the news that he will be sharing the backfield with Phillip Lindsay and Mark Ingram II and no longer in the lead back role. most overrated running backs of all time. The Eagles consistently added to the depth chart this offseason with Kerryon Johnson, Jordan Howard, Kenneth Gainwell added to Boston Scott. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. Henry has never caught more than 19 passes in a season, and that limited production as a receiver is an issue. Walter Payton 5. . But drafting him as a high-upside No. Here's our list of the greatest 30 running backs in NFL history. Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. The Raiders declined to exercise Jacobs fifth-year option this offseason, drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, signed Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden, and Kenyan Drake returns from injury. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league to put up those huge numbers over that finishing stretch. The Silence of the Lambs (1991) - Director: Jonathan Demme. Jan 26 . That has shown to be largely untrue so far in camp as Williams and Gordon have been splitting first-team reps nearly 50-50 until Gordon has missed time with a foot injury. I am a heretic in that regard. "Footballguys is the best premiumfantasy football Drafting Jacobs around this price is drafting him at his ceiling -- perhaps even above it. He had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. Bursting onto the scene in our list is Micah Richards. 3) Micah Richards. The team added Brian Robinson Jr Jr. on day two of the draft while retaining J.D. Even if the split is swapped with Williams as the slight 1A to Gordon's now 1B, achieving a top-12 result will hinge on Gordon missing a chunk of the season. Is he more talented than Melvin Gordon III at this point in their respective careers? Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris could struggle behind his offensive line and not garner an elite share of red zone touches. Even if Winston wins the competition and keeps the New Orleans passing game afloat, Kamara will have a hard time repeating last year's 21 total touchdowns. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. Christian McCaffery and Nick Chubb, running backs. Take a chance on a committee back in the same range who might emerge into a starter or become one due to injury. Swift has already broken the injury seal with a groin issue in camp, and Jamaal Williams has already been spoken of highly as a potential 1A to Swift's No. Fred Taylor Jeff Haseley: We know what Saquon Barkley is capable of, but we haven't seen him perform much in Jason Garrett's offense under Joe Judge's rule. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB30 | Consensus Projections RB27. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. Had more rushing touchdowns last year than Williams. Daniel Jones was one of the most uninspiring quarterbacks in the league last year. We've seen J.D. Sigmund Bloom: Johnson was still in line to start after he took a pay cut to stay with the Texans, but then the team added Phillip Lindsay after he and the Broncos parted ways, which embroils Johnson in a frustrating committee backfield in an offense that is likely to be among the league's worst. Jadeveon Clowney pegged as Cleveland Browns most overrated player So as we can see, Bettis had about the 9th best run blocking offensive line in the NFL during his career. This likely puts Gibson two injuries away from a full workload, and Robinson is capable of taking away money touches in the redzone as well. But drafting him as a high-upside No. McKissic, one the league's better pass-catching backs. That role may not disappear completely, but the addition of Gio Bernard is a bad sign for Tampa Bay's intentions with Fournette. Kudos to James Robinson. In college, he played wide receiver as much as (if not more than) running back. 21 RB Sleepers. Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. You wrote in to criticize me immediately following a 4-0 win against Forest where, for the first time all season, Moyes bowed to enormous pressure and played a back 4, told Declan to actually be . Matt Waldman: After studying Swift's best weeks in 2020, the Lions' offseason acquisitions, and Coach Lynn's analysis of his backs, I'm less enthusiastic about Swift. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. It's possible that Las Vegas will lean on Jacobs, knowing he won't be back next year, but that goes against McDaniels' past style of play. NFL's Most Overrated/Underrated QBs, RBs and WRs Brown never stopped earning playing time for the Rams despite the team investing early draft capital at the position. Top 50 Running Backs of All Time List - Sports Articles I believe it is more accurate to measure a RB by per season averages, because running backs such as Jim Brown did not play long. He has the ability to handle that role and thrive in the process. Lynn will also rely on the hot hand approach - and Swift is more likely to run hot than Williams - but how often will this offense and team play well enough to give Swift a favorable game script. 9 Tim Brown Via nfl.com I was one of many who publicly voiced outrage over the fact that Tim Brown had to wait until 2015 get his Hall of Fame honor. Awesemo fantasy expert Nick Lepri gives you the three MOST OVERRATED RBs, breaks down his running .. Even the best backs need help, and Harris is less likely to have consistent holes to run through than any of the backs going around him. His knee injury involved multiple ligament tears, and the Giants are likely to bring him along slowly. Malcolm Brown has also been an underrated commodity for some time now and gets a shot to compete with Gaskin for significant playing time. More of the stats of an average RB, which Laurence Maroney and Rashard Mendenhall are. I'm out. These players will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. Avoid. However, with Smith out of town, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center, and sophomore running back Antonio Gibson expected to step up, McKissic isnt someone that will have much value in most fantasy leagues. Chad Parsons: The price has vaulted up on Javonte Williams after a quality rookie season. He yields passing work to J.D. Jason Wood: We all want Dobbins to be an every-down workhorse. Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB17 | Consensus Projections RB15. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. This was largely in line with his previous year's number of 10.7 per game, allowing him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. It is also quite possible that Gordon isn't even on the team by the time Week 1 rolls around. Single They might be lucky to win three games, which means limited touchdown potential for Johnson and a shortage of run-friendly game scripts. The Giants offensive line, playcalling, and quarterback play give us no faith that they can help create fantasy overachievers. Jeff Bell: Gibson finished fourth in rushing attempts. 1 status. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. Andy Hicks: It is hard for an undrafted rookie running back to succeed in the NFL. Drew Davenport: Gordon hasn't been a special player for a while now, and at times last year looked completely ineffective. most overrated running backs of all time - cldaniels.com Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your That's right, Fournette was cut by the Jaguars, and I think the same could happen with Gordon entering this season. Murray scored 11 rushing touchdowns in 9 different games in 2020. Nick Chubb, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB10 | Consensus Projections RB11. Ty Johnson has strong athleticism and played over Carter in the first week of the preseason, and La'Mical Perine has a similar profile to Carter. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB26. That number of targets limited his ceiling, and he was barely a low-end RB2. Heading into this season, their offensive line is mediocre, their quarterback situation is a mess, they have a new coach, and the rest of the skill position players are uninspiring. Wait until next year. Take Carter later as a committee back with some possible upside, but he's being overvalued by drafters right now. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. Sigmund Bloom: There are too many forces that Barkley has to swim upstream again to justify taking Barkley at his lofty ADP. And while Johnson sits atop the Houston depth chart, Phillip Lindsay, Mark Ingram II, and perhaps Rex Burkhead will factor in as well. Adrian . When Melvin Gordon III re-signed, many dismissed him as purely a backup player. Jameis Winston is a downfield passer, and Hill would rather run than check down. John Riggins 19. 54 touchdowns. Byars is the only running back in modern NFL history taken in the first 10 picks of the draft who had at least 800 career carries and a per-carry average of 3.6 yards or worse. It seems the case that he is being drafted well above his upside. The only other way for one of them to achieve high-end RB1 value would be an injury that allows the other to see an increased workload. Yep. Chad Parsons: Sanders stands out in the mid-teens of the running back draft pecking order most with his odds of being a high-impact option. Every Prem club's most overrated player and Arsenal fans must end Downing, USA Today Sports. David Johnson 's fantasy fortunes have been a roller coaster ride over the past three seasons. Sigmund Bloom: Brian Robinson Jr had an excellent preseason debut, while Antonio Gibson fumbled *again*, so this is trending in the wrong direction for Gibson's 2022 redraft value. Jason Wood: Preseason depth charts aren't perfectly predictive, but the new Texans coaching staff clearly sent a message listing Johnson as the No. Jason Wood: Ekeler can single-handedly carry a fantasy team for a week or two. This should be a fair competition, considering that Miami is changing its scheme this year. 5. Ben Cummins: The Raiders offense should be fun this season with the additions of Davante Adams and new head coach, Josh McDaniels. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. Drafting running backs on the downside of their career, on bad offenses, in a platoon situation, is fraught with peril. Ryan Hester: Gibson is a unique case in fantasy football. Gaskin may be the top option for now, but that could change with a strong outing from veteran Malcolm Brown or Salvon Ahmed. The 100 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time - Bleacher Report Coach Brian Flores comes from New England, where they liked employing a committee, and now they have come out publicly to say this will, in fact, be a committee in Miami. But just like Logan Thomas, McKissic benefitted from a perfect storm of low average depth of target throws from the quarterbacks last year and the lack of receivers outside of Terry McLaurin. He was used more as a receiver than anything. Anthony Amico: The story with Gibson is somewhat similar to that of Jacobs but with a proof of concept already complete. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. Notre Dame's Kyren Williams was one of them and Georgia's James Cook was the other player named. From Weeks 13 through 17, Dobbins received a measly two total targets from quarterback Lamar Jackson. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB18. Cohen is strictly limited to passing-down work, and the numbers suggest that he isn't outstanding in that role either. These are players that will not put up stats commensurate to their draft spot, and avoiding them is another of the important keys to a successful fantasy team. The 39 Most Overrated Bands Of All-Time While they might have some catchy tunes, some bands are really overrated. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. Harris has the potential to be this year's Clyde Edwards-Helaire, as he may end up burning us relative to his current ADP of RB13 and 20th overall. His current draft price is almost his upside. His ADP has been climbing recently, and while his price says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, he's still being overvalued at his current price. Harris stayed an extra year in college to improve his draft capital, and rightfully so, as the 2020 class was filled with elite running back talent. Along with McKissic, Gibson will have to contend with Brian Robinson Jr, a rookie from Alabama. Gibson has also been struggling with fumbles in training camp, which have drawn the ire of the Commanders coaching staff. The final reason why Jerome Bettis is the most overrated RB of all time is because of the offensive line he ran behind. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. He's a strong talent with some flaws with a better all-around back ahead of him. And ultimately, he was targeted by Miami ahead of an early-round draft pick when he finally hit unrestricted free agency. His lack of use as a runner has to be a concern. But career stats shouldnt have much emphasis on them for that reason. James Brimacombe: I view Melvin Gordon III this season a lot like I viewed Leonard Fournette in Jacksonville last offseason. James Brimacombe: Johnson has been a fantasy hero for us in the past, but now entering Year 7, his best days are behind him. Phil Alexander: Michael Thomas' ankle injury opens up additional targets for Kamara, who will operate as New Orleans' de facto No. Ben Cummins: Im a big fan of Antonio Gibsons talent, but he will have to overcome a lot of hurdles to pay off his current ADP. This year, his new head coach -- Josh McDaniels -- is an offensive mind who made his career in schemes that utilized multiple backs as specialists for each situation. So what's the concern? Nyheim Hines is one of the premier pass-catching options, and Marlon Mack's health is a wildcard in the Colts' backfield rotation. Hes the favorite for running back targets, but the offense doesnt really throw to the running backs. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. This slideshow lists the most underrated and overrated quarterbacks, running backs and receivers in the NFL, and the choices might shock you. Unfortunately, Dobbins is on a team with an elite rushing quarterback in Lamar Jackson, who will always cap Dobbins' upside in total carries and goal-line looks. Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB19. Matt Waldman: Many of my peers at Footballguys are worshippers of draft capital as a predictor of talent. We use cookies to personalize content, ads and analyze site traffic. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. There's just not enough upside here to justify taking Johnson anywhere near his ADP and no expectation of consistency in Johnson's usage or the Texans' ability to move the ball week to week. He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time - TheTopTens Chad Parsons: Malcolm Brown looks, at a minimum, like a strong 1B option but did get the start and most of the snaps with Tua Tagovailoa with the first team in the initial preseason game. The Raiders have a lot of diverse depth with several different pass catchers, speed backs, and bruisers at the running back position for Jacobs to be drafted at his current ADP. My, my, how the game has changed. James is the more physically gifted player. Victoria Geary: Sanders had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). Tevin Coleman was specifically brought in because he knows the run-blocking schemes the Jets will employ this year, and Ty Johnson hasn't gone anywhere either. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB21. History has shown us that Harris's ADP will likely move into Round 2 or 3 as the next few months pass. If he is still on the opening day roster, Gordon's workload will be usurped by the rookie when the coaching staff trusts him. Gaskin has an RB2 ceiling, but an RB3 value is a much stronger likelihood than many realize, whether it's Brown or a summer free-agent acquisition like Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, or a recent starter a team lets go to make room for an emerging force. This is a major factor in any expectation that Robinson would be fantasy lineup-relevant without an injury to one of the other options, especially beyond the early weeks of the season. The Lessons of Barry Sanders - Grantland Ricky Watters 20. Johnson was once a big name at the running back position and is still getting drafted based on that name and past production. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB16 | Consensus Projections RB17. That enthusiasm should be tempered because Canada was the offensive coordinator fired by LSU before LSU hired Joe Brady, who oversaw Joe Burrow's historic season. Its a knock on his offensive line. 25 Overrated Running Backs - Footballguys In 2019, his last full season, Cohen averaged 5.8 yards per catch and 4.4 yards per target -- terrible numbers for a third-down back. First, Johnson turns 30 in December, and considering all the injuries he's dealt with in his NFL career, it's hard to see him aging well. That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. Gaskin's current draft position is indicative of him being the top back in Miami, and it's not a foregone conclusion that he is. Unfortunately for him, the team replaced the coaching staff that he impressed and signed veteran Carlos Hyde and drafted Travis Etienne in the first round. But the Broncos re-signed Melvin Gordon III, which cannot be interpreted as anything short of a re-commitment to a 50/50 committee. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. Barry Sanders is easily the best ever. Aaron Jones, Green Bay | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB6. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. If Gordon's injury is extended, Williams could be appropriately priced, but until there is more information, he is an avoid at cost. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. 1 Barry Sanders Barry Sanders is a former American football running back who spent his entire professional career with the Detroit Lions of the National Football League. The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time by Team | Stadium Talk Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 In addition, Antonio Gibson finished the year banged up and ceding snaps to McKissic. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered It probably comes off as harsh to call Montgomery one of the most overrated running backs of the past decade, but he is. The depth behind Ekeler is average, but there are enough players to steal touches. The fact is, he never . Manchester City's most overrated players in the Premier League Lambertville, Michigan 48144. most overrated running backs of all time(734) 854-2000 We don't yet know how much of Kamara's past success as a pass-catcher to attribute to Brees. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Most Overrated RB Of All-Time - Bleacher Report Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. There have been 49 running backs taken among the first 10 picks since 1960, and Byars has the lowest rushing average of the bunch. That is still great, but not quite as good as many people have him ranked. The additions of Mike Boone and Javonte Williams haven't done anything to dispel this idea. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. And was brought back by a new staff that keeps saying he will be a significant part of the offense. Its almost always the other way around for top tier RBs. There is also the slight concern that he will need some ramp-up time to fully be healed from his ACL tear from a season ago. It appears as if theres a change of guard happening in San Fransisco. J.D. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. most overrated running backs of all time Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY = adjusted line yards, PSR = power success rank, SR = stuff ranking Average ADY: 4.29 Average PSR: 11th Average SR: 9th * These stats werent kept until 1996, so this doesnt include Bettis first 3 years in the NFL. McDaniels is someone who deploys multiple backs throughout the course of the game. Preseason may help a little. However, James Robinson is a better runner than Etienne at this point. Without the volume, he is hard to use. He made general managers look like geniuses with more than 2,000 total yards and 20 touchdowns in 2016. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB4 | Consensus Projections RB5. His career marks are high because he played long (13 yrs) and was consistent. Ryan Hester: Chubb shares his backfield with a very talented player in Kareem Hunt, and Hunt is the one who gets the lions share of the passing game work. But regardless of quarterback, Kamara is unlikely to return to his 80 reception ways. When you select Dobbins in your drafts, you are banking on the hyper-efficiency of his limited touches to continue. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. Saquon Barkley, NY Giants | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB10. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. To point out these players, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Michael Carter, NY Jets | Consensus Rankings RB37 | Consensus Projections RB36. Is the 40 Yard Dash the Most Overrated Test for Running | STACK Swift also picked up bad footwork habits working alongside a different style of back in Adrian Peterson last year, opting for inefficient jump cuts that hurt his game. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. Arizona Cardinals: All-time underrated, overrated players Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. Jordan McNamara: Like Gaskin, David Johnson is in a cloudy situation after Philip Lindsay drew the starting role in Houston in week 1. This was largely in line with his previous year's 10.7 per game which allowed him to plod his way to an uninspiring RB24 finish. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. At times he looked like the future back Detroit has been looking for this century. Pat Fitzmaurice: The appeal is that he's an inexpensive lead back.
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